{"id":57228,"date":"2020-09-14T13:41:36","date_gmt":"2020-09-14T18:41:36","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=57228"},"modified":"2021-08-30T04:04:14","modified_gmt":"2021-08-30T04:04:14","slug":"advanced-stats-report-examining-cams-day-as-a-passer-pats-third-down-defense-stays-hot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=57228","title":{"rendered":"Advanced Stats Report: Examining Cam&#8217;s Day as a Passer, Pats Third-Down Defense Stays Hot"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Below are a variety of advanced stats from the Patriots\u2019 21-11 victory over the Miami Dolphins:<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">CAM NEWTON\u2019S PASSING STATS<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Patriots quarterback Cam Newton is off to a great start after executing Josh McDaniel\u2019s game-plan extremely well in Sunday\u2019s win over the Dolphins.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Newton only attempted four passes of over ten yards in Week 1, which was by design but was razor-sharp with his short and intermediate pass attempts.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Out of 28 quarterbacks, Newton ranked tenth in completion percentage over expectation (4.25) and seventh in expected points added per play (0.295).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">For those that aren\u2019t familiar with CPOE, the stat measures a quarterback&#8217;s raw completion percentage in a game versus what the model expects an NFL quarterback to complete in the same situation. In other words, Newton\u2019s traditional completion percentage was 78.9 when CPOE expected him to complete 74.7 percent of his throws, meaning he added value.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Newton\u2019s mechanics were smooth in his lower body, throwing with a good base and a sound weight transfer from front to back, so he had great control of the ball.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">After reviewing the TV copy of Newton\u2019s 19 throws, his grasp of New England\u2019s staple play-action concepts from under center was a good sign seeing that\u2019s not a career strength.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Sunday, the Pats QB was 8-of-9 with an average 11.0 yards per attempt off of play-action.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 56.250%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/p98w7r\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England&#8217;s first big play generated off of play-action was a great off-script read from Newton and tight end Ryan Izzo. The Pats are simulating a power run by pulling the backside guard with Izzo crossing behind the linebackers. Dolphins linebacker Jerome Baker reads the scheme well and cuts off Izzo\u2019s route, so Izzo curls back inside to give Newton an outlet.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 62.500%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/vcmbtv\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here, the Pats simulate their fullback lead play with Jakob Johnson and Sony Michel in the backfield. Newton\u2019s fake gets the Miami linebackers to step forward and play the run while Julian Edelman uncovers on an over route crossing over the middle. Newton hits him in stride for a 16-yard completion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Along with attempting only one pass beyond 20 yards, Newton\u2019s average time to throw was a brisk 2.13 seconds, as the game plan called for a quick release, and Newton obliged.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Although his accuracy and execution were excellent for game one, we\u2019ll get to some of the protection breakdowns on Newton that speak to some growing pains next.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">For those looking for film breakdowns on Newton\u2019s 15 rushing attempts, we\u2019ll have a detailed review of New England&#8217;s schemes to highlight Cam\u2019s mobility on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">PASS PROTECTION<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57231\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/OLpressures-500x137.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"137\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots offensive line only allowed two quarterback pressures on 22 drop-backs, an excellent day along with their run blocking, but Cam himself had issues setting the protection.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Newton was responsible for a sack and another pressure because he didn\u2019t set the protection properly, which is probably a result of him still learning the system to make calls at the line.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 62.500%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/50rif2\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Miami\u2019s first sack of the game, the Pats are running the same play-action scheme we saw Newton hit Izzo on above, but this time Baker blitzes. When Baker walks up to the line before the snap, he goes right over Thuney, and Newton should realize that Thuney is pulling in this protection call. With Thuney pulling and Baker coming fast, there\u2019s no way that center David Andrews can get in front of Baker in time. Based on what the defense showed him pre-snap, Newton should\u2019ve checked out of this play to keep himself protected.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 62.500%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/kexjob\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here\u2019s another example with the same pulling issues but a different blitz by Miami. The Dolphins run a zero blitz with seven defenders up on the line. Thuney is pulling to the edge defender to Cam\u2019s right, but with the all-out blitz on, every lineman is covered, and there\u2019s no help coming from right tackle Jermaine Eluemunor for Thuney. Again, that\u2019s a losing hand that Cam should reset the deck once the Dolphins show the zero blitz before the snap.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">At the end of the day, if the worst thing about Newton\u2019s first game as a Patriot is two blown protections, then we\u2019ll take it. But for that reason, his performance on Sunday wasn\u2019t perfect.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">SLOT PERFORMANCE<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57232\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/slot-500x82.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"82\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots got a strong performance from Julian Edelman out of the slot despite the former Super Bowl MVP&#8217;s lighter workload as the team eases him into the season.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">McDaniels schemed up a few different ways to get Edelman touches in space, as we saw above, and as we\u2019ll see with the next play on the \u201cmesh\u201d concept from the Pats OC.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 62.500%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/vcmbtv\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On the play, the Patriots anticipate that the Dolphins will be in man coverage, so they run intersecting crossing routes over the middle. Izzo and N\u2019Keal Harry cause too much traffic for Edelman\u2019s man, Jamal Perry, to weed through the trash and stick with the Pats wideout. Once the ball is in his hands, Edelman has plenty of room to run and picks up 16 yards.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In a small sample, Harry\u2019s slot usage increased from 12.7 percent of his rookie season routes to 26.3 percent on Sunday. Hopefully, we\u2019ll see that expanded usage continue.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">DEFENSIVE PRESSURES &amp; RUN STOPS<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57230\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/pressures-500x179.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"179\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots pass rush only generated pressure on 23.5 percent of Ryan Fitzpatrick\u2019s drop-backs or eight times under pressure on 34 passing plays.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Still, the defense had timely pressures that forced turnovers with new players executing old schemes such as their three-man stunt series on Stephon Gilmore\u2019s interception.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 56.250%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/7nwjqg\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Pats use hybrid safety Adrian Phillips as an edge rusher to add some speed into the pass rush on the pick. Phillips wraps around penetration from Adam Butler and Shilique Calhoun to get a free run at Fitzpatrick through the middle of the line. The pressure forces Fitzpatrick into a bad decision, and Gilmore bodies Preston Williams off the top of his route to finish the play.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Along with hurrying Fitzpatrick into an interception, Phillips and fellow hybrid defender Terrence Brooks each played a combined 40 snaps in the box as de facto linebackers. Putting defensive backs in those linebacker roles gives the Patriots tremendous flexibility in coverage in a passing league. But can they hold up versus the run? Against Miami, they did.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 62.500%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/naawnj\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Pats held the Dolphins to 3.2 yards per rush on 27 carriers, with Phillips and Brooks combining on three run-stops. On the play above, the Pats have five defensive backs on the field on third and two, so Fitzpatrick checks into a run. Unfortunately for Miami, Brooks instantly reads the running play like a linebacker and makes the tackle.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Belichick on Chase Winovich: &quot;expect him to be out on the field a good part of the time in all games.&quot;<\/p>\n<p>Wino had 3 run-stops &amp; 2 QB pressures. Beats the TE inside, instinctually knows the RB will cut away from the penetration, spins off the block to make the stop. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Patriots?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Patriots<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/TVxbVxNbPL\">pic.twitter.com\/TVxbVxNbPL<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Evan Lazar (@ezlazar) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ezlazar\/status\/1305508360276541440?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">September 14, 2020<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Leading the Patriots in both the pass rush and run defense was second-year edge defender, Chase Winovich. Winovich made several positive plays against the run, showing off his all-around skill set that had Belichick saying he\u2019ll be an every-down player this season.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Although the Pats didn\u2019t generate pressure at a high rate, the theory is that they wanted to contain Fitzpatrick in the pocket, who is an underrated scrambler. They\u2019ll need to do that again next week against Russell Wilson.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h3><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">COVERAGE STATS<\/span><\/strong><\/h3>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57229\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/Coverage-500x122.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"122\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Outside of a few borderline penalties, the Patriots secondary got some sweet revenge on Fitzpatrick, DeVante Parker, and company by intercepting the Miami QB three times.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Two of those interceptions came on third down with Miami converting four-of-11 third-down attempts, continuing a ridiculous run for the Pats defense from the start of 2019.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-57233\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/09\/PatsEPA3rddown-500x312.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"312\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Since the start of 2019, the Pats generate a ridiculous -0.569 expected points per play on third down, over double the next closest team. In all, opponents are 55-of-217, or 25.3 percent, by far tops in the league, on third down against the Pats over the last two seasons. Good luck, NFL.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Along with their third-down prowess, another trend is forming for the Patriots secondary, especially when it comes to cornerback JC Jackson, who had another shutdown performance.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is a big believer in press-man coverage, and the Pats played the third-most snaps in press-man coverage a year ago with it being their main coverage call.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">However, Belichick allows Jackson, and at times Gilmore too, the freedom to play off-man coverage in certain situations, enabling the Pats corners to make more plays on the ball.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: NaN%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/lezs76\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Sunday, Jackson was only in press-man on 12 of his 26 coverage snaps, and his interception and pass-breakup both came with him off the line of scrimmage.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 56.250%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/gfjma8\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Again, in off-man, Jackson can still play tight man-to-man coverage on his receiver and peak into the backfield to read the quarterback. On his late-game interception, Jackson\u2019s technique allows him to peel off his man to jump Fitzpatrick\u2019s throw. If he is pressed, Jackson&#8217;s back is likely to the quarterback, and he can&#8217;t make the same read and play.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">With great coverage players in the secondary, Belichick is relaxing his man coverage philosophies just a bit to turn his defensive backs into playmakers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Belichick\u2019s willingness to let players like Jackson take risks in off-man shows why he\u2019s such a great coach; he\u2019s always willing to adapt to his team&#8217;s strengths.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Below are a variety of advanced stats from the Patriots\u2019 21-11 victory over the Miami Dolphins: CAM NEWTON\u2019S PASSING STATS Patriots quarterback Cam Newton is off to a great start after executing Josh McDaniel\u2019s game-plan extremely well in Sunday\u2019s win over the Dolphins.\u00a0 Newton only attempted four passes of over ten yards in Week 1,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":131993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[211,210],"class_list":["post-57228","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-cam-newton","tag-patriots"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - 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