{"id":59332,"date":"2020-11-24T13:30:04","date_gmt":"2020-11-24T18:30:04","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=59332"},"modified":"2021-08-30T04:52:36","modified_gmt":"2021-08-30T04:52:36","slug":"lazar-cam-newton-has-a-future-with-the-patriots-defense-remains-bigger-concern","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=59332","title":{"rendered":"Lazar: Cam Newton Has a Future with the Patriots, Defense Remains Bigger Concern"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Former Patriots quarterback Tom Brady spoiled New Englanders rotten over the last two decades, and we say that with all the love in the world.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">During the Brady era, Pats fans were accustomed to seeing their offense come out on top in close games thanks often to a level of quarterback play that we will likely never see again.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This season, New England is 1-4 on game-winning or trying drives. Cam Newton had the ball five times with a chance to tie or take the lead in the fourth quarter and failed on four of them, with the most recent stall coming on Sunday in the loss to the Houston Texans.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots had game-winning or trying drives end at the Seattle 1, the Denver 24, the Buffalo 19, and now the Houston 24-yard line, which isn&#8217;t something we are used to seeing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Other elements of the game that we aren\u2019t accustomed to are inconsistent footwork, sometimes poor short accuracy, and slower processing of defense before and after the snap.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">All of those things were, among other attributes, what made Brady great; clutch and surgical.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots offense needs to work on the first talking point, clutch, as 1-4 in critical late-game situations is the difference between 4-6 and 6-4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">However, we need to stop expecting Newton, who has never been Brady-like, to have pinpoint accuracy to all areas of the field and near-perfect mechanics every time he releases the ball.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-59334\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screen-Shot-2020-11-24-at-1.16.38-PM-500x204.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"204\" \/><\/p>\n<p>(via Sports Info Solutions)<\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Sunday, Newton was 17-of-29 with an on-target percentage of 65.4 on throws under ten air yards. On throws of ten-plus air yards, he was 9-of-11 for 219 yards and a touchdown.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In other words, our expectations are that every quarterback will pick apart the short stuff and get the ball out quickly because that\u2019s how Brady has trained us to watch the game.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Welcome to life without the GOAT where the next guy, whether it\u2019s Newton or someone else, will play the game differently, which doesn\u2019t make them bad. The rest of the league is used to it by now.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Newton is a different and more inconsistent passer but still gets the job done on the whole.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-59333\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/11\/Screen-Shot-2020-11-23-at-12.34.14-PM-500x324.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"324\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Since fully recovering from COVID, Cam is 11th in expected points added per drop-back and ninth in completion percentage over expected (CPOE), a top 15 quarterback by most metrics.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Sunday, he was terrific at reading, manipulating, and throwing deep, and although some of his mistakes are confusing to Brady-impacted eyes, they\u2019re common for most QBs.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In the following audio breakdowns, we\u2019ll take you through five of Newton\u2019s throws on Sunday that show the 31-year-old playing the position at an extremely high level.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Although there\u2019s still more football to be played, if Newton maintains this level of play, there\u2019s no reason to walk away from him at the end of the season if the money makes sense.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">After going over Newton\u2019s tape, we\u2019ll get into the Pats defense&#8217;s far more alarming coverage issues.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">1ST &amp; 10 AT HST 47 (1ST, 11:03) C. Newton pass deep middle to D. Byrd for 17 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 55.912%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/rbns9x\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here\u2019s a great example of Newton reading a zone-dropper in the middle of the field and anticipating Byrd opening up in the second passing window. The Patriots ran play-action out of 21-personnel against an eight-man box. The fake gets most of the second level sucked into the line of scrimmage, but Texans linebacker Zack Cunningham reacts quickly enough to fall underneath Byrd\u2019s dig route initially. Newton waits for an extra half-beat and then throws with anticipation to lead Byrd to the other side of Cunningham for a 17-yard completion.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">3RD &amp; 10 AT NE 18 (3RD, 10:13) C. Newton pass deep middle to D. Byrd for 30 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 55.342%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/ennaff\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In this play, the Patriots ran a dagger concept with Byrd (deep dig) and Meyers (middle-read) working in tandem. Meyers\u2019s middle-read route clears out the coverage between the numbers against a cover-two structure. Newton hits Byrd in-stride coming across the field on a great display of operating well within the scheme&#8217;s structure.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">1ST &amp; 10 AT HST 42 (3RD, 8:21) C. Newton pass deep middle to D. Byrd for 42-yard TD<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 55.626%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/wkx6ra\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here\u2019s the bomb to Byrd for New England\u2019s longest touchdown of the season. The Texans are in a post-safety coverage, and the Pats put the deep safety in conflict with three deep routes: an over route (Meyers) and a \u201cdino\u201d concept or double posts. New England also added a switch release between Byrd and N\u2019Keal Harry to get Byrd a free release. Newton reads the deep safety jumping Meyers\u2019s route and throws against single coverage to Byrd on the post for six.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">2ND &amp; 13 AT NE 27 (3RD, 0:22) C. Newton pass deep right to D. Byrd for 19 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 54.818%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/p9ij74\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This time, Jakobi Meyers initially looks like the open man streaking up the middle of the field on a vertical route. However, Newton reads the inverted cover-three structure and sees the outside corner at the bottom of the screen working over the top of Meyers. Instead of throwing into coverage, he pump fakes to Meyers, getting the new deep-third defender over Byrd to bite into the middle of the field, and comes back to Byrd along the sideline for 19 yards.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">3RD &amp; 8 AT HST 42 (4TH, 11:52) C. Newton pass deep left to D. Byrd for 16 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 55.932%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/jvjs6s\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Another gotta-have-it third down for the Patriots late in the game. Newton reads the slot defender that initially falls underneath Byrd\u2019s deep out route. When the slot defender cheats up just a little to sit on N\u2019Keal Harry\u2019s shallow crosser, Newton throws a bullet to Byrd along the sideline into the passing window created by the defensive backs movement.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">PATRIOTS DEFENSE REMAINS BIGGER CONCERN<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As we predicted in my Patriots game plan, Bill Belichick went with a similar coverage-heavy strategy that he used against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs in Week 4.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The most common criticism of New England\u2019s performance on defense was a lack of pressure on Watson, but with only five blitzes, Belichick wasn\u2019t focused on pressuring the quarterback.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England rushed either three (nine) or four (35) defenders on 44 of Houston\u2019s 47 passing plays, intending to shut down the Texans\u2019 receivers and contain Watson in the pocket.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Pats wanted their secondary with seven or eight in coverage to blanket Houston\u2019s pass-catchers, and their failure to do so was a more significant concern than a lacking pass rush.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">This season, the Pats defense is dead-last, 32nd, in defending throws between the numbers, allowing a league-high success rate of 65 percent.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Watson and the Texans took advantage by targeting their tight ends in the middle of the field to the tune of nine catches for 134 yards.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England\u2019s coverages rely on defenders playing to their leverage. In cover-one, man coverage defenders with outside leverage funnel receivers into their middle of the field help.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Against the Texans, there were far too many instances where the zone defenders (robbers) didn\u2019t close the middle of the field, leaving man coverage players out-leverage all afternoon.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">3RD &amp; 10 AT NE 25 (1ST, 3:56) D. Watson pass short left to J. Akins for 22 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 54.915%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/2q9o2o\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In the audio breakdown above, the Pats don\u2019t jam Texans tight end Jordan Akins at the line, giving him a head of steam into his route. Then, Jason McCourty is playing with outside leverage against an in-breaking route and doesn\u2019t receive the necessary help from Adrian Phillips dropping into the crosser window off the line. McCourty can\u2019t play tighter coverage on a terrific throw from Watson; he needs Phillips to leverage Akins\u2019s route coming across, but the Pats safety just can\u2019t get there.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">3RD &amp; 4 AT 50 (2ND, 5:28) D. Watson pass deep right to J. Akins for 25 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 55.437%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/mv08mj\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here\u2019s another example of the Patriots playing their cover-one double robber scheme where rookie safety Kyle Dugger is left without middle of the field help. Dugger has Akins one-on-one and gets beat a little at the top of the route, but Devin McCourty doesn\u2019t drop into the crosser window to help an out-leveraged Dugger out. Again, the zone defenders need to close the middle of the field, or else Dugger is chasing Akins across with no help inside. No bueno.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Watson also hit a few key third downs late in the game against zone coverage, manipulating underneath zones with his eyes exceptionally well.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">3RD &amp; 4 AT HST 31 (4TH, 6:19) D. Watson pass short middle to W. Fuller for 14 yards<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<div style=\"width: 100%; height: 0px; position: relative; padding-bottom: 56.009%;\"><iframe style=\"width: 100%; height: 100%; position: absolute; left: 0px; top: 0px; overflow: hidden;\" src=\"https:\/\/streamable.com\/e\/xptdng\" width=\"100%\" height=\"100%\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><\/iframe><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">In this play, the Patriots show blitz and then drop three defenders off the line into short zones. The release out of the backfield and Watson\u2019s eyes get rookie linebacker Josh Uche to lean towards the running back, and Watson rips it between Uche and Dugger for a huge conversion. If the Pats get Houston off the field there, it remains a four-point game. Instead, the Texans drove into field goal range to make it 27-20 while taking two more minutes off the clock.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As the rest of the Patriots season unfolds, the conversation will undoubtedly be about the future of the quarterback position in New England.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">However, the issues on the defensive side of the ball for Bill Belichick are far more concerning than failures to execute in key situations on offense, which will get better over time.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Newton and the offensive line will, and have shown at times already, get on the same page picking up blitzes. Plus, hopefully, the Pats will upgrade their pass-catchers in the offseason and found something with this group.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots are getting quality quarterback play from Newton this season, even if it doesn\u2019t look the same as when Brady was under center, but the defense is a major concern moving forward.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Former Patriots quarterback Tom Brady spoiled New Englanders rotten over the last two decades, and we say that with all the love in the world. During the Brady era, Pats fans were accustomed to seeing their offense come out on top in close games thanks often to a level of quarterback play that we will<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":131993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[207,211,210,349],"class_list":["post-59332","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-bill-belichick","tag-cam-newton","tag-patriots","tag-texans"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Lazar: Cam Newton Has a Future with the Patriots, Defense Remains Bigger Concern - CLNS Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Patriots are getting solid quarterback play from Cam Newton, even if it doesn&#039;t look the same as Tom Brady&#039;s offense.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=59332\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Lazar: Cam Newton Has a Future with the Patriots, Defense Remains Bigger Concern - 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