{"id":63637,"date":"2021-03-19T21:09:40","date_gmt":"2021-03-20T02:09:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=63637"},"modified":"2021-08-30T06:35:23","modified_gmt":"2021-08-30T06:35:23","slug":"patriots-mailbag-with-free-agent-additions-pats-defense-could-be-elite-in-2021","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/patriots-mailbag-with-free-agent-additions-pats-defense-could-be-elite-in-2021\/","title":{"rendered":"Patriots Mailbag: With Free-Agent Additions, Pats Defense Could Be Elite in 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is in the midst of an expedited rebuild in New England after an unprecedented spending spree in the opening week of free agency.<\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Pats\u2019 football czar isn\u2019t waiting around for three seasons to slowly build back up to a playoff contender; this is an aggressive Belichick in win-now mode. On top of that, Belichick is also building a roster with staying power with an average age of 26.8 in his free-agent additions.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Super-agent Drew Rosenhaus, who had five clients and counting sign with the Patriots this offseason, described Belichick as \u201chungry\u201d during free-agent negotiations.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Belichick\u2019s hunger saw him bring in Hunter Henry, Jonnu Smith, Nelson Agholor, Kendrick Bourne, and Trent Brown (trade) while re-signing center David Andrews in the last ten days.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As a result, New England\u2019s moves offensively and potential moves at quarterback on the horizon have the league buzzing.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Although offense is exciting, we shouldn\u2019t sleep on the revamped defense either. With one of the greatest defensive minds in NFL history at the helm, it has elite-level talent and potential.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Last season, the Patriots\u2019 biggest issue defensively was stopping the run (32nd in DVOA), mainly setting the edge against the run where the Pats surrendered 5.02 yards per rush on outside rushes in 2020 (28th in NFL).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Recent draft picks such as Chase Winovich, Josh Uche, and Anfernee Jennings either didn\u2019t grasp things quickly enough or didn\u2019t have the body types to develop as stout edge-setters.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Similarly, veteran John Simon was one of the worst edge defenders in football a year ago, and the Patriots set out to completely re-work their defensive line after a disappointing season.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England decided to keep Deatrich Wise and rebuild the line with new pieces around Wise, and although their offer was nearly identical to Miami&#8217;s, Adam Butler chose the Dolphins over the Patriots.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots also had a terrible time defending the pass between the numbers, ranking 30th by surrendering 9.4 yards per play-action pass attempt during their 7-9 campaign last season.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Belichick recognized his teams\u2019 needs on defense were as pressing as the holes they needed to fill on offense, doling out $115 million in total value contracts to defensive players this week.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">With all that spending, here\u2019s a look at the Patriots\u2019 projected Week 1 regulars versus where things stood in their last competitive game in Week 15, 2020 (before playoff elimination):\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-63656\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Screen-Shot-2021-03-19-at-3.05.55-PM-500x332.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"500\" height=\"332\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England will have at least six new primary contributors, five in the front seven. Their much-improved linebacking corps features newcomer Matt Judon paired with the returns of Dont\u2019a Hightower (opt-out) and Kyle Van Noy, which gives the Patriots the stout edges and second-level run defenders they missed dearly during the 2020 season.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Along the defensive line, Henry Anderson and Davon Godchaux are in while Adam Butler and possibly Lawrence Guy are out. Will they hold up better against the run? That\u2019s the expectation.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England\u2019s front-seven is significantly better than it was last season. Plus, the team remains optimistic that Uche and Winovich (if not traded) will contribute as primary sub-rushers.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots gave themselves a chance to go from 26th in total DVOA to back in the upper-tier as they were in 2019 when they led the league in the metric with their new additions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Now it\u2019s up to Belichick and his coaching staff to figure out the best combinations on the field.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Let\u2019s get into some of your questions. Thanks to everyone that asked a question. There were tons of them this week. If I didn\u2019t answer your question, check out our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/c\/PatriotsPressPass\/videos\">Patriots Press Pass<\/a> channel on YouTube, where we do videos on a bunch of more topics. Mailbag time:\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What do you expect winos role to be and how best to utilize his talents?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Dave (@ChefdDds89) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ChefdDds89\/status\/1372561400027959297?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Most of you will pick up on me saying that Winovich could get traded, which is possible. As Belichick said multiple times last season, Wino is a good football player. The issue is his fit in their scheme and the Pats\u2019 locker room culture. The team wasn\u2019t thrilled about how active Winovich was with the media early on in his career. Plus, he\u2019s having trouble holding up against the run on the edge, and his pass-rush discipline can improve too. Winovich might be better off in a scheme that will let him pin his ears back and rush upfield on every snap, which isn\u2019t the Pats\u2019 brand of football. Entering the third year of his rookie contract, Winovich is a cheap and ascending player. Although the team isn\u2019t actively seeking a trade, it wouldn\u2019t surprise me after adding Judon and Van Noy if they move Winovich.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What positions do you think the Patriots are still looking to add at via free agency? Examples of potential fits?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Bleed Green (@Bleed_Green_17) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Bleed_Green_17\/status\/1372560052247216128?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots continue to monitor several available free agents&#8217; markets across different positions; an addition at any spot wouldn\u2019t surprise me. I can report that they\u2019re still particularly active in the running back, wide receiver, and defensive line markets. Belichick will add a veteran running back at some point, whether it\u2019s a power back type (Fournette) or someone in a pass-catching back mold (Duke Johnson, Damien Williams). I also think they\u2019ll add another receiver that can play on the outside. Maybe that one is simply retaining Damiere Byrd now in a reduced role.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What are the realistic chances of deshaun Watson? Shoot me straight. I can take it<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Lyle Thomas (@LyleTho60844368) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/LyleTho60844368\/status\/1372559786940760066?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Legal issues aside, I would put the chances of a Deshaun Watson trade at less than 5%. Before all of his legal troubles, the Patriots were interested in a Watson trade. The package that I heard was two first-rounders, two second-rounders, and two veteran players (maybe Gilmore and Wynn). However, the hurdle I can\u2019t get over from Houston\u2019s point of view is the credibility they\u2019d lose and the career-suicide that would ensue from Nick Caserio trading Watson to his old boss. I don\u2019t see Texans ownership allowing that trade to happen, or even the league for that matter, unless it\u2019s clear that the Patriots have the best offer on the table (which would be hard to believe). I also don\u2019t think anyone is touching Watson until he clears his name in the courts. I think Belichick would make a trade like that, but there are too many obstacles to overcome with Watson at the moment.<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Why do you think the patriots didn\u2019t place a First round tender on JC Jackson?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Alexander Luccini (@AlexLuccini) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/AlexLuccini\/status\/1372560167485763586?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">My theory on Jackson\u2019s second-round tender is that the team feels that if Jackson does sign an offer sheet, it\u2019ll be for below market value since cap space is dried up league-wide. If it\u2019s at or below the market, the Patriots will probably match the offer sheet and have Jackson under contract long-term. Still, I think the Pats are banking on Jackson realizing that his best move is to play on the tender and cash out as an unrestricted free agent in 2022. Any deal he signs this offseason will likely be at a discount, so he might as well bet on having another strong, high-INT season for a big payday down the line. I wouldn\u2019t worry too much about the Patriots losing Jackson this offseason.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Hi Evan,  love the moves we made so far, what are your thoughts on Lawrence Guy, do you think there&#39;s a chance we bring him back?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; ashley1992 (@ashley1992__) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ashley1992__\/status\/1372564197712797701?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The door isn\u2019t completely shut on a return for Lawrence Guy, per source. However, the team prioritized Wise and Adam Butler, who chose Miami over New England with the Pats making a nearly identical offer to Butler as the Patriots. T<\/span><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">he Patriots want to get younger along the defensive line, and the 31-year-old Guy doesn\u2019t fit that standard. I could see him returning as the veteran in the room, but the Patriots aren\u2019t interested in paying him much, from what I\u2019m told.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">After having addressed so many of their roster concerns already in FA, do you think they&#39;re gonna address the QB situation in the draft?  If so, do you think they&#39;ll move up, and if they do, who do you think they&#39;ll target and why?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Ghost of the Eastern Seaboard (@GhostoftheES) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GhostoftheES\/status\/1372565889283936261?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">It feels like the Patriots will ultimately address the quarterback position in the draft, but there are a few layers here. First, the team believes that Cam Newton will be much better this season with the new pieces around him, and it\u2019s not that outlandish of an opinion. Cam struggled, sometimes mightily, but it wasn\u2019t the complete disaster that some make it out to be given the circumstances and weapons. Second, I believe that the Patriots would entertain a blockbuster quarterback trade if one becomes available. However, drafting a quarterback to sit behind Newton for a while seems like the most likely scenario. I think a trade up to six would land New England one of the top four QBs. Packages would start at no. 15, a 2022 first-round pick, and a day two selection.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What kind of QB do you expect?<br \/>A mobile one or a QB like Mac Jones?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Patriots Nation Germany (@German_Patriots) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/German_Patriots\/status\/1372567262352322560?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The way the Patriots are building their offense around Hunter Henry and Jonnu Smith screams for a mobile quarterback, like Cam in the short-term. In the long-term, it could be Trey Lance, Justin Fields, or Kellen Mond. The reason for that is they\u2019re going to be an offense focused on running the football and throwing off play-action between the numbers and up the seams. Those types of offenses are always more dynamic when you can play 11-on-11 versus the quarterback being a non-threat as a runner. Imagine trying to defend an RPO action with Henry and Smith running upfield behind the linebackers, a power OL coming downhill, and two running threats in the backfield. Good luck.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">What QB\u2019s do you like after the first round? I like Mond, Trask, Mills<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Robert Bouche (@bobbybouche54) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/bobbybouche54\/status\/1372560745590890498?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">If you&#8217;re looking for my quarterback rankings, you can find those in my <a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/lazars-2021-nfl-draft-rankings-spreadsheet\/\">draft spreadsheet<\/a> that features my rankings at every position (still finalizing some, but most are there). I would rank these quarterbacks as Mond, Trask, Mills. With Mond and Trask as viable day-two options for the Patriots. Mond would be my choice out of this group.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">How does Jonnu Smith compare to how the Patriots used AH? (Will not say his name)<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; moose johnston ? (@DarrylJohnston) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/DarrylJohnston\/status\/1372560164017090560?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">There\u2019s some overlap with Jonnu Smith and Aaron Hernandez but also key differences. The overlaps are in their versatility and YAC ability. I would think the Pats will dust off some Hernandez plays out of the backfield and around the formation for Jonnu, scheming up ways to get Smith the ball in space. However, the main difference is at the top of the route. Smith is more of a vertical threat than Hernandez was, while Hernandez had elite short-area quickness to change directions in his breaks. I don\u2019t think Jonnu will be as quick in his route breaks, but he should bring more of a threat up the seams. If he\u2019s 70 percent as good as Hernandez was with the ball in his hands, Smith will be a hell of a player for the Patriots.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Based on what you\u2019ve seen on film, is Dalton Keene a genuine option at fullback? Has the size, and could offer athleticism &amp; pass catching out of the backfield (sort of a poor man\u2019s Juszczyk) but can he legitimately win the job as a lead blocker first &amp; foremost?<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Dave (@Dave01122930) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/Dave01122930\/status\/1372580716463161344?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">March 18, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">It will be fascinating to see what the Patriots do with their tight ends from the 2020 draft. They signed Jonnu for four years and Henry for three, so there go Asiasi and Keene\u2019s rookie contracts. As far as Keene at fullback goes, that\u2019s where his primary focus should be if he hopes to earn playing time. Keene was a much better blocker at Virginia Tech than he was last season for the Pats because Tech allowed him to get a head of steam most of the time into his engagements by playing him as an H-Back off the line. He might also bring some receiving punch from the backfield with his athletic profile. He\u2019ll get better matchups from there and won\u2019t need to work against press coverage. I like Jakob Johnson and Dan Vitale, but Keene\u2019s upside in a fullback or H-Back role is pretty high. Hopefully, that&#8217;s where he&#8217;s practicing during camp.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is in the midst of an expedited rebuild in New England after an unprecedented spending spree in the opening week of free agency. The Pats\u2019 football czar isn\u2019t waiting around for three seasons to slowly build back up to a playoff contender; this is an aggressive Belichick in win-now mode.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":131993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[207,274,270,271,210],"class_list":["post-63637","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-bill-belichick","tag-donta-hightower","tag-kyle-van-noy","tag-matt-judon","tag-patriots"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Patriots Mailbag: With Free-Agent Additions, Pats Defense Could Be Elite in 2021 - CLNS Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Patriots head coach Bill Belichick is in the midst of an expedited rebuild in New England after an unprecedented spending spree.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/patriots-mailbag-with-free-agent-additions-pats-defense-could-be-elite-in-2021\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Patriots Mailbag: With Free-Agent Additions, Pats Defense Could Be Elite in 2021 - 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