{"id":95218,"date":"2021-12-19T17:16:56","date_gmt":"2021-12-19T22:16:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=95218"},"modified":"2021-12-19T17:20:26","modified_gmt":"2021-12-19T22:20:26","slug":"advanced-stats-report-colts-beat-the-patriots-at-their-own-game-in-the-trenches","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=95218","title":{"rendered":"Advanced Stats Report: Colts Beat the Patriots at Their Own Game in the Trenches"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Patriots\u2019 seven-game winning streak came to an end in a 27-17 loss to the Colts on Saturday night at Lucas Oil Stadium.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Although a myriad of errors led to a losing effort, New England&#8217;s inability to control the trenches was as worrisome as the blocked punt, turnovers, and penalties.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">According to Pro Football Focus, quarterback Mac Jones was under pressure on 31.9 percent of his drop-backs. Plus, New England\u2019s rushing attempts subtracted 0.34 expected points with a lousy 26% success rate and surrendered 125 rushing yards to Colts running back Jonathan Taylor after contact (4.3 avg.).<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"550\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Any guesses which five games the <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/Patriots?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#Patriots<\/a> have allowed a pressure rate of over 30% on Mac Jones? <\/p>\n<p>Yup, those five. In order of highest pressure rate: Week 4, Week 3, Week 1, Week 6, Week 15.<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Evan Lazar (@ezlazar) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ezlazar\/status\/1472596697842958340?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">December 19, 2021<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Jones has been under pressure on over 30% of his drop-backs in all five Patriots losses this season. Some of that speaks to game script. For example, the Pats are trailing in those games and are dropping back to pass more, inviting pressure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Still, the point remains that when New England wins on the line of scrimmage and keeps Mac clean, they usually play from ahead and win.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Indianapolis might be the only AFC foe that can out-physical the Pats, and they proved that on Saturday night.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here are various advanced stats from the Patriots\u2019 loss to the Colts:<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">MAC JONES\u2019 PASSING METRICS<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Although the Pats\u2019 rookie contributed to the deficit with two turnovers, Jones also made plays in the second half to bring New England back.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-95220\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Screen-Shot-2021-12-19-at-5.10.09-PM-300x36.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"84\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Screen-Shot-2021-12-19-at-5.10.09-PM-300x36.png 300w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Screen-Shot-2021-12-19-at-5.10.09-PM-600x73.png 600w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Screen-Shot-2021-12-19-at-5.10.09-PM-150x18.png 150w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Screen-Shot-2021-12-19-at-5.10.09-PM-450x55.png 450w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Screen-Shot-2021-12-19-at-5.10.09-PM.png 741w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 700px) 100vw, 700px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Overall, Jones produced a -0.01 expected points added and a completion rate over expected of -4.5, which doesn&#8217;t speak favorably to the quarterback performance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">However, Mac found a rhythm in the second half, adding 0.04 expected points in the final two quarters and 0.08 EPA in the fourth quarter. Furthermore, if you remove the two turnovers, Jones\u2019 EPA per play was a superb 0.22 on his other 46 passing plays.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Colts&#8217; defense made Jones hold the ball for a season-high 3.13 seconds on average with their zone coverage. But Mac moved the coverage and hit schemed throws to reach the red zone four times.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 640px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-1\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Bourne20Yards.mp4?_=1\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Bourne20Yards.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/Bourne20Yards.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here, Mac starts by looking left in his drop to get the zone structure to shift over and then comes back to Kendrick Bourne as he settles in the void.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 788px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-2\" width=\"788\" height=\"443\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/HenryTD.mp4?_=2\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/HenryTD.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/HenryTD.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Hunter Henry\u2019s first touchdown, Jones climbs the pocket to elude the rush and buy time for Henry to work open, hitting his tight end for six.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Pats offense, quarterback included, was horrendous for two-and-half quarters. Yet, they kept grinding and were within one score late.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">PASS PROTECTION STATS<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As we mentioned, Jones was under pressure on 31.9% of his drop-back, his highest rate since Week 6.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">There are a few variables worth pointing out, such as Mac\u2019s long time to throw and a high volume of drop-backs while trailing that invited pressure.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Still, an offense featuring a pocket passer will be inconsistent when the pressure rate climbs over 30 percent, and there are consistent problems.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-95223\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassProWeek15-300x82.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"702\" height=\"192\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassProWeek15-300x82.png 300w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassProWeek15-150x41.png 150w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassProWeek15-450x123.png 450w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassProWeek15.png 576w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 702px) 100vw, 702px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Mainly, Patriots left tackle Isaiah Wynn allowed a team-high four QB pressures with a sack and a false start penalty as his up-and-down season continues.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 640px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-3\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/BucknerSack.mp4?_=3\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/BucknerSack.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/BucknerSack.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Wynn tries a jump set against the Colts&#8217; top pass-rusher DeForest Buckner on the sack and gives up the inside. Compounding the poor technique was that running back Brandon Bolden looks to chip Buckner on the way out, yet Wynn still oversets to the outside and gets beat inside.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The rest of the offensive line was respectable, and right tackle Trent Brown was good again, allowing only a hurry.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But as we wrote in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/lazar-ten-things-we-learned-from-the-patriots-27-17-loss-to-the-colts\/\">ten things<\/a> following the game, the Pats have some soul-searching to do with Wynn.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">DEFENSIVE PRESSURES &amp; RUN STOPS<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Colts quarterback Carson Wentz only dropped back to pass 14 times, so the pressure rate wasn\u2019t anything to write home about this week.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-95222\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassRushWeek15-300x71.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"706\" height=\"167\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassRushWeek15-300x71.png 300w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassRushWeek15-150x36.png 150w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassRushWeek15-450x107.png 450w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/PassRushWeek15.png 577w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 706px) 100vw, 706px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Wentz was under pressure on 28.6% of his drop-backs and had three turnover-worthy plays in an awful performance.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">As bad as Wentz was, it didn\u2019t matter because Indy gained enough yards on the ground to win.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 640px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-4\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/WiseSack.mp4?_=4\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/WiseSack.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/WiseSack.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">One of the few times the Patriots got to pin their ears back, they run their \u201codd magic\u201d pressure with a three-man stunt on the interior to collapse the pocket around Wentz for a sack (credited to Deatrich Wise).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">New England\u2019s pass rush didn\u2019t get many opportunities, but Wentz was on the verge of turnovers all game long (more on that later).\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><em><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">RUN STOPS<\/span><\/em><\/h4>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Until the back-breaker by Taylor, the Patriots held the Colts\u2019 running back in check with 28 carries for 103 yards (3.7 avg.) and a long of 12 yards.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 640px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-5\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/GuyThirdDownStuff.mp4?_=5\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/GuyThirdDownStuff.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/GuyThirdDownStuff.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Leading the way was Lawerence Guy (four stops), who was consistently occupying and even defeating double teams at the point of attack.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Rookie Christian Barmore (three stops) and nose tackle Davon Godchaux (two stops) also contributed, but one big play erased all those efforts.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 788px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-6\" width=\"788\" height=\"443\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/TaylorHomer.mp4?_=6\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/TaylorHomer.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/TaylorHomer.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Taylor\u2019s 67-yard touchdown, the Colts RB somehow squeaks between two of the Pats\u2019 best defenders in Dont\u2019a Hightower and Devin McCourty in the hole with an explosive cut. Ultimately, those two in the hole with Taylor dead to rights is a scenario you\u2019d take. Unfortunately, Taylor is an exceptional talent who made a play.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Nothing was good enough in a losing effort, but the run defense held its own until the dam broke.<\/span><\/p>\n<h4><strong><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">COVERAGE STATS<\/span><\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">The Colts didn\u2019t throw the ball enough to accumulate much coverage data like the pass rush metrics.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-95221\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CoverageWeek15-300x62.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"687\" height=\"142\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CoverageWeek15-300x62.png 300w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CoverageWeek15-600x124.png 600w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CoverageWeek15-150x31.png 150w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CoverageWeek15-450x93.png 450w, https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CoverageWeek15.png 762w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 687px) 100vw, 687px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">However, the NFL box score counted more pass breakups for the Patriots (six) than completions for Wentz (five) as New England was all over Indy\u2019s passing game.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 788px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-7\" width=\"788\" height=\"443\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CollinsiNT.mp4?_=7\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CollinsiNT.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/CollinsiNT.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On Wentz\u2019s interception, he tries to hit a crossing Zach Pascal as Jamie Collins falls underneath the route on a zone drop. Collins shows excellent range and athleticism to tip the pass in the air, and the ball falls into Devin McCourty\u2019s lap.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 640px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-8\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/JCPBUIndy.mp4?_=8\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/JCPBUIndy.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/JCPBUIndy.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Pats cornerback J.C. Jackson had three PBUs with a near-interception that turned Michael Pittman into a defensive back to avoid the turnover.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Along with the pass breakups, the Pats also limited Indy\u2019s run-pass options by forcing Wentz to throw.<\/span><\/p>\n<div style=\"width: 640px;\" class=\"wp-video\"><video class=\"wp-video-shortcode\" id=\"video-95218-9\" width=\"640\" height=\"360\" preload=\"metadata\" controls=\"controls\"><source type=\"video\/mp4\" src=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/RPODefense.mp4?_=9\" \/><a href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/RPODefense.mp4\">https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/12\/RPODefense.mp4<\/a><\/video><\/div>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">Here, Kyle Van Noy crashes down to Taylor, forcing Wentz to pass the ball against man coverage, and Kyle Dugger is all over Jack Doyle in the flat.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">On the one hand, the Patriots didn\u2019t force Wentz to throw more because of the game script.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span data-preserver-spaces=\"true\">But Bill Belichick\u2019s game plan to limit the run out of big nickel and eliminate Indy\u2019s passing game nearly worked.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<h5><em>Stats Provided by Pro Football Focus\u00a0<\/em><\/h5>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Patriots\u2019 seven-game winning streak came to an end in a 27-17 loss to the Colts on Saturday night at Lucas Oil Stadium. Although a myriad of errors led to a losing effort, New England&#8217;s inability to control the trenches was as worrisome as the blocked punt, turnovers, and penalties. According to Pro Football Focus,<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":131993,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[47],"tags":[400,210],"class_list":["post-95218","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nfl","tag-colts","tag-patriots"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Advanced Stats Report: Colts Beat the Patriots at Their Own Game in the Trenches - CLNS Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The Patriots\u2019 seven-game winning streak came to an end in a 27-17 loss to the Colts on Saturday night at Lucas Oil Stadium.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.clnsmedia.com\/?p=95218\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Advanced Stats Report: Colts Beat the Patriots at Their Own Game in the Trenches - 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