Taking Stock of NBA Odds after All-Star Break for Final Quarter of Season

Using some gambling advice to handicap title odds and game lines with three-quarters of a season under our belt


BOSTON – After a wild Eastern Conference reshuffling before the NBA trade deadline, its time for everyone to take stock once more of the league as a whole.

Between the Blake Griffin trade, the Cleveland Cavaliers overhaul and a bunch of unfortunate, meaningful injuries, it’s been a wild midseason for the NBA. As we enter the final month and a half of the regular season, let’s take a look at where things stand in Las Vegas, with some help from our friends at BettingTop10.com/AU.

According to sites like Bovada and VegasInsiders, the Golden State Warriors and Houston Rockets are still heavy favorites to win the NBA title. Bovada lists the defending champion Warriors as -165. Houston is next at +350, despite the fact that they will have to eliminate one or the other in the Western Conference Finals. 

So, is there some value in betting on a future with one of the Eastern Conference squads? They will have an easier road to the title series.

Following Koby Altman’s trade deadline extravaganza, the Cavaliers were humming with wins over upper-echelon teams like the Boston Celtics and Oklahoma City Thunder. However, things have leveled off after the All-Star Break. The Cavs are 2-2 since, with losses to the similarly strong Washington Wizards and San Antonio Spurs. Still, both Bovada and VegasInsiders are listing the Cavs as the third most-likely champions at +550.

Given track record alone, LeBron James does deserve to be in that spot. The last time he didn’t make the NBA Finals, President Barack Obama was barely a year into office.

With Jimmy Butler going down in Minnesota, the next four up on both betting sites are, in some order; Toronto, Boston, San Antonio and Oklahoma City. The Celtics have been streaky, which has allowed a steady Raptors squad to slip in front in the Eastern Conference standings. In fact, VegasInsiders currently lists Toronto at 12/1 and Boston 20/1 to win the title.

Using advice from BettingTop10.com/AU, one can see that makes the Celtics a slightly better play here. Boston has been aflame out of the All-Star Break. With Kyrie Irving’s ability and experience, he is the lone player in the conference I’d trust to go head-to-head with James and win. Bovada lists the Celtics as 14/1 to win the title, but gives Toronto the edge at just 11/1.

Betting Top 10 is a great source for gambling information, user friendly for the most novice handicapper through the most experienced shark. There is advice on everything from reading lines and odds to choosing the right online betting site for you. It presents the best Australian options in a Kayak.com sort of format. They list a series of websites rated based on reputation, payment structure, variety and even customer support.

Last Thursday was a relatively light NBA day, with only four games on tap. However, all four present some strong betting possibilities due to how evenly matched all the contests are. Per one of Betting Top 10’s top sites: bookmaker.com,au, the biggest spread of the night was Minnesota +4.5 at Portland. Using BettingTop10.com, we know that line is affected by the Butler injury. However, we also know that the Timberwolves have regrouped and won two straight since he went out. They hadn’t played since Monday. While the Trailblazers are certainly rolling as well, they played Tuesday.

There are also going to be options like betting on Damian Lillard to drop more than 30 points and Portland to win. Those can increase your payout, and Dame averaged well north of 30 in February. Also check out things like over/unders. The last time Minnesota was held under 100 points was in mid-January. Portland has cleared triple-digits in all four of their current win steak victories. The over/under for this one, per sites on bettingtop10.com, is 217.5.

As for this evening, March 7, the Celtics are again off, but two major teams of interest are active. The Raptors are at Detroit and the Cavaliers are in Denver. At Bookmaker, Toronto is a 5.5 point favorite.  Cleveland is giving just 2.2 points to the Nuggets, with a monster over/under of 231. Take a look at where both squads rank in team defense.

I’d hammer the over, and I’d head over to BettingTop10.com/AU for more NBA oddsmaking advice.