In breaking news, BetOnline.ag has overwhelming odds that there will not be a vote for a potential Supreme Court nominee before Inauguration Day in January 2021. The odds are -400 for there not being a vote for Donald Trump’s potential Supreme Court nominee, and +250 for there actually being one.
The odds are even more severe for there being a vote before the election. NO checks in at -1000. Betting YES is +550.
As news from both sides of the aisle trickled in over the weekend, the likelihood of an actual vote for a Trump pick began to dim.
According to Axios, Democrats are leveraging with Armagheddon options for votes in 2021 such as:
- Adding stars to the flag with statehoods for Washington D.C. and Puerto Rico, effectively adding two more blue states to the map
- Ending the 60-vote threshold to end fillibusters
- Expanding the number of justices on the Supreme Court
Joe Kennedy III (D-MA) tweeted “If he holds a vote in 2020, we pack the court in 2021. It’s that simple.”
The very real and legitimate posturing seems to be paying off. Two Republican Senators, Lisa Murkowski and Susan Collins voiced objections to Donald Trump filling the seat before the election. Former Senator Jeff Flake of Arizona has come out and said that Republicans need to hold the same position they had in 2016 when they blocked a vote on Merrick Garland.
Following the passing of Ruth Bader Ginsburg on Friday night, everything pointed towards Trump and the Republicans filling the seat. Trump is poised to name a nominee no matter what. However, actually getting a vote now seems very unlikely.
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