Despite Summer of Discontent, Many Incumbents Remain Favorites in Senate Races

McConnell, Graham, Daines remain safe. But what about the others in 2020 Senate races?


In what certainly is America’s darkest summer since 1968, many Senate incumbents seem to be surviving the wrath of the mob.  At least at the ballot box. has exclusive odds on all Senate races, and many familiar names seem to be in comfortable positions at serving another six-year term.

Familiar names such as Mitch McConnell (R-KY), Lindsey Graham (R-NC), Gary Peters (D-MI) and Steve Daines (R-MO) all remain comfortable favorites to win their bids for re-election against both Republican and Democrat upstarts alike.

It’s not the stalwarts who, seemingly during times of great peril one would think would be on the brink.  It’s the names the political junkie doesn’t think too often about during non-election years.

The biggest of those names is Susan Collins (R-ME.)

Collins, who infamously voted for the nomination of Justice Brett Kavanaugh in 2018 has gotten a-balls-to-the-wall blitz from Democrats on flipping her seat.  Collins is a pretty significant underdog and seems headed for unemployment (although, somehow these former politicians always seem to land on their feet with comfortable positions at think tanks and on television.)  Collins is +200 underdog against Sara Gideon.

Other Republican women, such as Martha McSally (R-AZ), who was appointed following the resignation of Jon Kyl, is +300 to win re-election.

As summer progresses into the fall, it will be interesting to see how other events play out.  One situation to keep an eye on is housing — which is scheduled to blow any minute.

If that happens…


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