For the second week in a row, the Patriots are welcoming a formidable opponent to Gillette Stadium for a regular season NFL matchup. The 1-0 Miami Dolphins are in town and are a three-point favorite against New England according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Aside from the point spread, there are plenty of game props to bet on as well. Here are my three favorites for Sunday’s 8:25 p.m. kickoff:
Mac Jones Passing Yards
OVER 327.5 -114
UNDER 237.5 -114
The Pick: OVER 327.5
I think Mac will go over his passing yards total again this week. Though the Patriots’ game plan should be to hammer the run behind their (hopefully) healthy interior offensive line given that Miami let up 200+ rushing yards last week, they’ll likely look to get the pass game going early and incorporate play action into a run-heavy Sunday.
It’ll be a cerebral showdown between Bill O’Brien/Jones and Vic Fangio – and I think Mac and the Pats win it. The quarterback threw for 300 yards last weekend and it’s definitely possible that he does it again.
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
The Pick: Hunter Henry +310
I love this bet. Henry was a monster last weekend against Philadelphia – catching five passes (one for a touchdown), and leading all tight ends on the weekend in receiving yards with 56.
He rides that momentum into Sunday. Last week Miami let up a tight end touchdown to Donald Parham, and they let up another to Henry this week. It wouldn’t shock me if he had two scores.
Tyreek Hill Receiving Yards
OVER 80.5 -114
UNDER 80.5 -114
The Pick: UNDER 80.5
Even with Jonathan Jones questionable with an ankle injury, I think New England can contain Tyreek Hill on Sunday.
If Jones indeed doesn’t play against Miami, it will likely be some form of rookie Christian Gonzalez with safety help over the top to try and slow down the speedster. While it’ll be a tall task for a player playing in just his second NFL game, he sounds up for the challenge.